
ETF Flow Share
The inflow ÷ market cap ratio has a numerator made of flows and a denominator tied to price: when price falls, the curve rises without a dollar flowing in. This chart shows the curve AND the exact log decomposition per month — measured, the market-value term dominates on roughly three quarters of trading days, and on about half the ratio moves against the inflow. Not an adoption metric.
- Formula:
- flow_share = cum_net_inflow ÷ (circulating_supply × close) · Δln(share) = Δln(inflow) − Δln(mcap)
- Originator:
- Ratio: Grayscale/Artemis (2026) · decomposition: Backtesting Arena
- Data source:
- SoSoValue (US-Spot-ETF-Flows) · BRK circulating supply · eigene Preisreihe — Nenner gerechnet, nicht bezogen
Strategies to backtest
Thematically related strategies from our library — try them in the backtest engine or read up on the methodology.
The benchmark for everything else — buy on day one, hold forever. The reference every strategy is measured against.
Open strategy →Buy a fixed amount on a fixed schedule — week after week, regardless of price. Smooths volatility, removes timing decisions.
Open strategy →More Bitcoin indicators
Difference between market cap and realized cap, normalised by standard deviation. Values above 5 mark the top region (4 of 5 historical bull tops), below 0 every bottom.
BTC price coloured by MVRV Z-Score regime — from deep accumulation (green) to euphoria (red). Makes valuation phases visible over time.
Aggregated unrealised profit of all coins, five phase bands from capitulation to euphoria. Measures on-chain market sentiment.