Bull Market Support Band
The BMSB is a 5-stage cycle indicator inspired by the Bull Market Support Band (Vance Lucas). It combines price-vs-WMA, WMA cross and WMA trend direction into one aggregate phase: 0 = bear (red), 1–2 = recovery (yellow), 3–4 = bull (green), 5 = structurally bullish (intense green).
- Formula:
- 5 Stufen: Preis>20WMA · 20WMA↑ · Preis>50WMA · 20WMA>50WMA · 50WMA↑
- Originator:
- Vance Lucas (Bull Market Support Band)
- Data source:
- Binance OHLC daily + TradingView CSV (vor 2017-08) — Wochen-Resampling Mo-So UTC
Strategies to backtest
Thematically related strategies from our library — try them in the backtest engine or read up on the methodology.
The classic trend-following signal — when the 50-day SMA crosses above the 200-day SMA, the trend has flipped bullish.
Open strategy →Two EMAs plus an ATR-based neutral zone — like the commercial Larsson Line, but tunable, transparent, and backtested. Choose your bias.
Open strategy →More Bitcoin indicators
111-day SMA vs. 350-day SMA × 2. Classic top signal by Philip Swift — historical crossovers nailed every BTC bull-run top to within days.
Current BTC price divided by the 200-day moving average. Below 1 historically bearish, above 2.4 marks the top 0.5% quantile.
Logarithmic regression on BTC price since 2010 with nine colour bands — from "Fire Sale" deep blue to "Maximum Bubble" red.