Backtesting Arena

Backtesting Arena

Buy & Hold master

Buy & Hold Strategy

The benchmark for everything else — buy on day one, hold forever. The reference every strategy is measured against.

Quick Facts

Type:
Reference
Plan:
Free
Asset Classes:
Crypto · Stocks · ETF · Commodities · Forex
Indicators:

Platform Backtest

CAGR
+18.1%
Win Rate
Max DD
-60%

Default parameters · BTCUSDT · 1d · 4 years · B&H +18.1%

How It Works

Buy & Hold is the simplest possible strategy: invest your entire capital on day one of the trading window, then hold the asset until the end of the period — no matter what happens in between. There are no entry signals, no exit signals, no parameters.

Why it matters: Buy & Hold is the benchmark against which every active strategy must justify itself. A strategy that earns 15 % CAGR sounds great until you learn Buy & Hold made 30 % over the same period — your trading effort actually destroyed value. Conversely, a strategy that earns 8 % during a year when Buy & Hold lost −40 % is genuinely producing alpha.

On the platform: every backtest result automatically reports two Buy & Hold variants for context:

  • B&H (Day 1): simple buy on the first trading day of the period.
  • Avg B&H: average performance across all valid entry days within the period (with a 20 % minimum-remaining-time constraint), so the benchmark isn't biased by a lucky/unlucky single starting day.

The "Buy & Hold" strategy itself uses the Day 1 variant. If you want to compare against a more robust benchmark, look at the Avg B&H line that appears alongside every backtest result.

Entry & Exit Rules

Entry

  • Day 1 of the trading window — buy at open
  • Position is currently flat (always true at start)

Exit

  • Last day of the trading window — sell at close
  • Otherwise: never sell

Live Backtest

Strategy CAGR
+18.1%
Buy & Hold CAGR
+18.1%
Trades
1
Win Rate
Y-axis: Equity (USD, $10,000 starting capital)2022-04-28 → 2026-04-27

BTCUSDT · 1d · 4 years · default parameters · refreshed daily

Run with my own parameters →

Pseudo-Code

expand
// Day 1
BUY at open

// All other days
HOLD

// Last day
SELL at close

Strengths & Weaknesses

Strengths

  • Zero effort — no monitoring, no decisions
  • Tax-efficient (single buy, single sell)
  • Best benchmark for evaluating active strategies
  • Captures all of an asset's upside without timing risk

Weaknesses

  • Full exposure to drawdowns — capital can drop 80 %+ in crypto bear markets
  • Returns depend heavily on the start date (timing of the entry)
  • No risk management — psychologically painful in crashes
  • Doesn't capitalize on volatility (no rebalancing)

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is Buy & Hold so hard to beat?

Two reasons. First, in long-term bull markets (Bitcoin since 2010, S&P 500 since 1980), the asset itself does most of the work — any strategy that exits during the trend gives up alpha. Second, transaction costs and bad timing add up: studies show that even professionals with full information mostly underperform B&H over long horizons. Active strategies still have value (they reduce drawdowns), but pure return is a high bar to clear.

What's the difference between B&H and DCA?

Buy & Hold puts all capital in on day one — you're fully exposed from the start. DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging) spreads the same capital over many smaller purchases (e.g. weekly) — you're gradually exposed. B&H wins in steady uptrends; DCA wins when the market is volatile or temporarily dropping after your start date. Both are simple reference strategies — pick whichever matches your reality.

When should I prefer Buy & Hold over an active strategy?

When you have a strong long-term thesis on the asset ("Bitcoin will be worth more in 10 years"), can stomach 50–80 % drawdowns without panic-selling, and have no time/inclination to monitor signals. Active strategies are worth the effort if you want lower drawdowns at the cost of some upside, or if you're trading assets without strong long-term tailwinds.

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