Cycle Signal Timeline
The signal timeline shows, for the composite and each of the nine cycle indicators, which band (accumulation to overheated) it sat in week by week — the same band mapping as the Market Pulse tile, from the daily stored scores. Below it, the day-level log of band changes; changes that revert within three days are marked as flicker. The consensus line states how many indicators sit above neutral, how many are rising — and how many independent pieces of information the nine rows actually carry.
- Formula:
- Band = signalFromScore(gespeicherter Score) · Woche = letzter verfügbarer Tag · Flip = Bandwechsel Tag→Tag
- Data source:
- btc_cycle_snapshots (eigener Cron btc-cycle, point-in-time seit 2018-12-01)
Strategies to backtest
Thematically related strategies from our library — try them in the backtest engine or read up on the methodology.
The benchmark for everything else — buy on day one, hold forever. The reference every strategy is measured against.
Open strategy →Buy a fixed amount on a fixed schedule — week after week, regardless of price. Smooths volatility, removes timing decisions.
Open strategy →More Bitcoin indicators
Aggregated sentiment score 0-100 (alternative.me). Extreme fear historically marks bottoms, extreme greed marks top zones — e.g. March 2020 (8), November 2022 (20), April 2021 (95).
How many of 5 INDEPENDENT valuation/sentiment domains (Mayer, MVRV-Z, macro regime, funding, Fear & Greed) are aligned right now — plus dispersion and the EFFECTIVE number of independent domains. A state, not a signal.
Return per unit of risk over the trailing 365 days — since 2010, with a percentile rank for today's value.