🌡

Arena Heat Chart

BTC price × macro regime × Arena Pulse — one shareable figure from what the platform already computes.

Arena Heat Chart

BTC price (log) over macro-regime shading + Arena Pulse temperature — recomposed from existing series only.

$64,688Pulse 32/100 · risk-offRegime: Sweet SpotAs of 2026-07-16
RecoverySweet SpotLate CycleCrisis
log · USD
Arena Pulse temperature (0–100)

Descriptive temperature — context, not a buy/sell signal.

Methodology & how to read it

What it shows

BTC price (log axis) over a 4-quadrant macro-regime shading, with the Arena Pulse “temperature” (0–100) below. Three already-computed series in one figure — not a new index.

How to read it

The background colour locates the macro cycle (Recovery → Sweet Spot → Late Cycle → Crisis). The Pulse temperature gauges market heat: near 0 = cold/capitulative, near 100 = hot/euphoric. Read together, a hot pulse in “Late Cycle/Crisis” reads differently than in “Recovery”. It is context, not a buy/sell call.

Method

Regime = matrix_quadrant from the macro-regime model (18 FRED components in 6 tiers → 2-D quadrant). Pulse = 0–100 aggregate of 8 components (Bullmarket-Ampel, Fear & Greed, MVRV-Z, 200-WMA distance, Mayer, Altcoin-Season, Funding-Z, Hash-Ribbons). Price = daily close. Aligned on one time axis; regime forward-filled stepwise.

Data

All existing, live-maintained platform series — updated daily. A recomposition, not a new calculation. Share image: /api/og/arena-heat.

Recomposition, not a new indicator: price from the daily BTC series, regime shading from the Macro Regime classification (matrix quadrant), temperature from the Arena Pulse score — each unchanged. Share image: /api/og/arena-heat.