The Bitcoin four-year cycle isn't in the code — only the halving supply schedule is. What real cycles (pigs, chips, ships) teach us about the difference between a causal cycle and a fitted narrative.

There's a way to draw Bitcoin's price that turns fifteen years of booms, crashes and mania into something almost boring: a nearly straight line.

Tomorrow, SpaceX is expected to do something no company has done before: raise roughly $75 billion in a single offering.

The most consequential Bitcoin payments story of the past year isn't a price chart. It's a transaction you'll never see.

LLMs don't trade profitably. But why would anyone expect them to? The honest answer is uncomfortable: nobody can see the future, and markets are explicitly the opposite of a forecasting machine — they're a mechanism for the ongoing negotiation of disagreement. On the Grossman-Stiglitz paradox, why one side of every trade is convinced it's smarter than the other, and why AI trading tools mathematically neutralize themselves the moment they become widespread.

A new strategy is live: Gerald Appel's MACD from the 1970s, now fully tunable (default 12/26/9). Two trade modes — classic signal cross or histogram flip — give you a reactive and a confirming variant from one indicator.

A new strategy is live: BB+RSI combines two classics into a strict mean-reversion setup. BUY only when price is at the lower Bollinger band AND RSI is oversold — two conditions, fewer false signals. Pro+.