Backtesting Arena

Backtesting Arena

Backtesting Arena Blog

Arena Blog

Data-driven insights on trading strategies, backtests, and market analysis.

📬 New posts straight to your inbox:
★ FeaturedTools

We Just Shipped an API That Charges $0.01 Per Call — In USDC, On-Chain, No Account

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

Phase 4 is live: the same Bitcoin cycle data, on-chain indicators, and aggregated strategy insights now reachable through three channels — REST, MCP, and x402 pay-per-call in USDC on Base. No account required for the third. An AI agent gets HTTP 402, signs a USDC authorization, retries, and has the data three seconds later. What's actually live, why we built it this way, and the Coinbase detour that cost us a day.

x402MCPREST-API+7
May 23, 20261 min
★ FeaturedTools

We're Opening Our API: REST + MCP + (soon) x402

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

For 18 months we've been quietly building Backtesting Arena — a platform where 500+ users have run 10,000+ backtests across Bitcoin, stocks, ETFs, commodities, and forex. Daily cycle scores, on-chain indicators, sentiment dashboards, strategy insights. All powered by the same data layer that's been running on a private quasi-API.

APIMCPX402+1
May 21, 20261 min
★ FeaturedMarket Structure

AI Agents and Crypto Payments: Where This Is Really Heading

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

This is the crypto-rail deep-dive companion to our earlier piece [AI and the Future of Payment Systems](https://tradingstrategies.work/blog/ai-future-of-payment-systems-2026), which covered the broader fintech picture including Visa Intelligent Commerce and Mastercard Agent Pay. Here we zoom in on what's happening on the crypto layer specifically.

AI-AgentsCryptoPayment-Systems+3
May 15, 20261 min
Market Analysis

SpaceX IPO: Buy the Hype or Wait? What the Biggest IPOs Did in Their First 6 Months

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

Tomorrow, SpaceX is expected to do something no company has done before: raise roughly $75 billion in a single offering.

spacexipolockup-expiration+3
Jun 11, 20261 min
Tools

The Invisible Settlement Layer: Bitcoin, Stablecoins, and the Kill Switch

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

The most consequential Bitcoin payments story of the past year isn't a price chart. It's a transaction you'll never see.

bitcoinlightning-networkstablecoins+5
Jun 11, 20261 min
Tools

Nobody Sees the Future — Why No AI Trading Tool Can Beat the Market

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

LLMs don't trade profitably. But why would anyone expect them to? The honest answer is uncomfortable: nobody can see the future, and markets are explicitly the opposite of a forecasting machine — they're a mechanism for the ongoing negotiation of disagreement. On the Grossman-Stiglitz paradox, why one side of every trade is convinced it's smarter than the other, and why AI trading tools mathematically neutralize themselves the moment they become widespread.

MarktphilosophieGrossman-StiglitzEffiziente Märkte+5
Jun 11, 20261 min
Strategy

MACD Cross is live — two modes from one classic

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

A new strategy is live: Gerald Appel's MACD from the 1970s, now fully tunable (default 12/26/9). Two trade modes — classic signal cross or histogram flip — give you a reactive and a confirming variant from one indicator.

BacktestingCryptoMACD+3
Jun 11, 20261 min
Strategy

Bollinger Bands + RSI is live — the strict mean-reversion play

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

A new strategy is live: BB+RSI combines two classics into a strict mean-reversion setup. BUY only when price is at the lower Bollinger band AND RSI is oversold — two conditions, fewer false signals. Pro+.

BacktestingCryptoBollinger Bands+3
Jun 11, 20261 min
Strategy

EMA Cross is live — the configurable cousin of Golden Cross

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

A new strategy is live: two configurable EMAs cross — BUY on the upward cross, SELL on the downward cross. Default 9/21, faster and more tunable than Golden Cross. Plus optional volume- or price-confirmation filter to fight whipsaws.

BacktestingCryptoEMA+3
Jun 11, 20261 min
Strategy

New strategy: Take-Profit / Re-Entry — lock in gains, buy the dip

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

The Take-Profit / Re-Entry strategy combines two simple rules: sell when your target gain is reached, re-enter when price drops enough from the post-sell high. No indicator noise — just price and two parameters.

StrategieCryptoBacktesting+2
Jun 10, 20261 min
📬

Don't miss new blog posts

One short email per new post — strategies, backtests, market analysis. No spam, unsubscribe with one click anytime.

By subscribing you accept our privacy policy. We use Resend for delivery. Double opt-in confirmation required.