Arena Blog
Data-driven insights on trading strategies, backtests, and market analysis.
The Bitcoin Filter That Flips 88 % of Top-50 Alts into the Green
34 of 50 top-50 alts have lost money on average across every entry point — measured in USD. One strategy flips that. It doesn't look at the alt. It looks at BTC.
What the 50 Top Coins Won't Show You
We ran our RSI/SMA strategy across the entire Binance USDT spot universe — 269 assets instead of 50. The picture that emerges is uncomfortable.
Strategy Reports: Why Running One Strategy Across 50 Coins Tells You More Than Running It on One
New product category on Backtesting Arena. Plus: a first look at the RSI/SMA report covering 50 Binance pairs.
When a Crypto Strategy fails completely on US Stocks
An honest story from our bulk backtests.
CME Bitcoin Volatility Futures: What June 1, 2026 Means for Crypto
CME announced on May 5, 2026 the launch of regulated Bitcoin volatility futures starting June 1. Traders will be able to trade volatility in isolation, without taking a directional bet on the BTC price. What this means technically, who benefits, and why it's a bigger step for crypto than the headline suggests.
Tokenized STRC at 11.5%: Why the Gross Yield Is Misleading
Strategy's STRC has been tradable as a token on Ethereum, BNB Chain, and Solana since May 5, 2026. Advertised yield: 11.5%. Real net yield for most international investors: between 5.9% and 8%. The tokenization structure permanently costs 15 percentage points of withholding tax compared to direct purchase.
When You Measure Alts in BTC, Bear is the Baseline
We tested our RSI/SMA strategy on 77 actively trading Binance BTC-pairs (XAUT and WBTC excluded). 92% of them lost against BTC over 8 years. The strategy still beats Buy & Hold on 88% of pairs — through getting out, not through outperformance.
When Do Grid Trading Bots Actually Work? Two Real BTC Backtests from 2024 and 2025/2026
Grid bots promise profit from sideways markets — but without the right range they fail. We show with two real BTC backtests (2024 and 2025) when grid wins, and when buy-and-hold dominates.
Buy Now or Wait for the Dip? The Math Behind the Decision
Buy now or wait for the dip? Both camps believe in rising prices — yet pursue opposite strategies. An expected-value calculation reveals which one actually wins, and under which conditions the math flips.
The Vanishing Float: Why Bitcoin Is Heading Into Its Largest Liquidity Squeeze Ever
Long-Term Holders hold 71% of all Bitcoin. ETFs and Treasury Companies buy price-inelastically. What happens when this inelastic demand meets a structurally shrinking float?
Don't miss new blog posts
One short email per new post — strategies, backtests, market analysis. No spam, unsubscribe with one click anytime.
By subscribing you accept our privacy policy. We use Resend for delivery. Double opt-in confirmation required.