Backtesting ArenaBacktesting Arena
Backtesting Arena Blog

Arena Blog

Data-driven insights on trading strategies, backtests, and market analysis.

📬 New posts straight to your inbox:

1–12 of 192 posts · page 1 of 16

★ FeaturedTools

Backtesting Arena Is Now a Claude Connector

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

Backtesting Arena can now be connected to claude.ai with a single click — 65 tools for Bitcoin cycle, on-chain data, macro regime and validated backtests. Instead of generic web-search answers, Claude pulls real, DSR-corrected and point-in-time data. Plus a new interactive tool: the Dip Decision calculator.

AI agentsBitcoinBacktesting
Jul 5, 20261 min
★ FeaturedTools

We Just Shipped an API That Charges $0.01 Per Call — In USDC, On-Chain, No Account

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

Phase 4 is live: the same Bitcoin cycle data, on-chain indicators, and aggregated strategy insights now reachable through three channels — REST, MCP, and x402 pay-per-call in USDC on Base. No account required for the third. An AI agent gets HTTP 402, signs a USDC authorization, retries, and has the data three seconds later. What's actually live, why we built it this way, and the Coinbase detour that cost us a day.

x402AI agentsStablecoins
May 23, 20261 min
Market Analysis

Altcoin Season in Sight: Is It Time to Switch Out of Bitcoin?

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

When half the top altcoins beat Bitcoin, an altcoin season usually follows. Yet in 11 of 13 cases since 2020, switching to altcoins meant falling behind Bitcoin, whether you bought the leaders or the rest. Five checks and what each one tells you.

MomentumMarket structureBitcoin+1
Oct 2, 20261 min
Asset Analysis

What Is NEAR – and Why Is the Price Rising While the Users Leave?

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

NEAR lost four in five active users on its own chain in a year, yet had its best month ever in September 2026. What the chain does, why the money now comes from swaps between other chains, and how much of it actually reaches the token.

DeFiOn-chainMarket structure+1
Oct 2, 20261 min
Asset Analysis

What Is Dogecoin – and Who Actually Pays for the Chain?

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

Dogecoin pays its miners $1.3 million a day in new coins while its users pay under $1,000 in fees. What the chain does, who uses it, why Litecoin miners earn more from Dogecoin than from Litecoin, and what that means for holders.

On-chainMarket structureCrypto+1
Sep 30, 20261 min
Market Analysis

Spoofing in the Order Book: Can a Heatmap Tell You Which Wall Is Fake?

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

Willy Woo labelled the sell walls in Bitcoin's order book "fake" and the bids "organic". What spoofing means in law, how the first criminal case was actually proven, and the one number a heatmap would need to show.

Market structureMethodologyBitcoin
Sep 30, 20261 min
Market Analysis

Bitcoin at $785,000 by 2030? The Math Behind OMEGA60

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

A Bitcoin model published in August reaches $785,000 in 2030 at 60 % a year. Where its line stands today, what rate the target now needs, and why the same method would have given anything from $47,000 to $19 million.

Look-ahead biasMethodologyBitcoin
Sep 30, 20261 min
Asset Analysis

What Is Monero – and Is XMR a Good Investment?

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

Monero hides sender, receiver and amount in every payment. What the chain does, who uses it, where it still trades, how its perpetual emission compares with Bitcoin's, and why XMR moved against Bitcoin in 2024 and 2025 but with it in 2026.

Market structureBitcoinCrypto
Sep 30, 20261 min
Market Analysis

Bitcoin falls, the ETFs keep buying. Is that a buy signal?

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

When Bitcoin falls while the spot ETFs report inflows, it looks like support. Across 428 trading days the next day was a coin flip like any other, and within the next 20 days the usual pullback came anyway.

ETFBitcoinEthereum+2
Sep 28, 20261 min
Asset Analysis

Quant Network: Did bank deals make QNT explode? A closer look at the token

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

In nine days of September 2026 QNT went from 63 to as much as 373 dollars, right after US and UK banks picked Quant's software. What Quant does, how company, technology and token differ, and what supply and blockchain show about the token.

Tokenized assetsMarket structureCrypto
Sep 28, 20261 min
Asset Analysis

Banks use Ripple. That does not mean they need XRP.

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

Ripple sells banks software and its own stablecoin. What the XRP Ledger is used for, ten popular claims checked against the data, and why nearly all of XRP's gain since 2018 came in one month.

ETFStablecoinsMarket structure+1
Sep 27, 20261 min
Asset Analysis

Half of all Tether dollars sit on Tron. They are there to be sent, not invested.

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

Tron carries more USDT than Ethereum, yet holds six cents of DeFi per stablecoin dollar. What the chain is, who uses it and why, and what its growth has done for the TRX token, with monthly returns since 2018.

StablecoinsOn-chainMarket structure+1
Sep 25, 20261 min
📬

Don't miss new blog posts

One short email per new post — strategies, backtests, market analysis. No spam, unsubscribe with one click anytime.

By subscribing you accept our privacy policy. We use Resend for delivery. Double opt-in confirmation required.