
Arena Blog
Data-driven insights on trading strategies, backtests, and market analysis.
1–12 of 201 posts · page 1 of 17
Backtesting Arena Is Now a Claude Connector
Backtesting Arena can now be connected to claude.ai with a single click — 65 tools for Bitcoin cycle, on-chain data, macro regime and validated backtests. Instead of generic web-search answers, Claude pulls real, DSR-corrected and point-in-time data. Plus a new interactive tool: the Dip Decision calculator.
We Just Shipped an API That Charges $0.01 Per Call — In USDC, On-Chain, No Account
Phase 4 is live: the same Bitcoin cycle data, on-chain indicators, and aggregated strategy insights now reachable through three channels — REST, MCP, and x402 pay-per-call in USDC on Base. No account required for the third. An AI agent gets HTTP 402, signs a USDC authorization, retries, and has the data three seconds later. What's actually live, why we built it this way, and the Coinbase detour that cost us a day.
What Is Avalanche – and Do Its Blockchains Still Need AVAX?
Every new blockchain on Avalanche used to lock up AVAX: 2,000 per validator. Since the Etna upgrade in December 2024, all 577 active validators of Avalanche's own chains pay about 9,200 AVAX a year combined. What Avalanche does, who uses it, what really carries the token, and how AVAX has done against bitcoin.
Is the Anchored VWAP Strategy Worth It? Checked Against Six Years of Bitcoin
The anchored VWAP strategy draws an average-price line from a starting point you pick, such as the last low, and buys while price stays above it. Its result depends on that starting point. On six years of Bitcoin, none of five common anchor rules placed the line better than chance, and the 52-week low did worse than 99 percent of random anchors. Why that happens, why the charts still look convincing, and what to use instead.
What Is Bittensor – and How Scarce Is TAO After Its Halving, Really?
TAO copies Bitcoin's supply plan: 21 million, halvings, 3,600 new coins a day. That puts it where Bitcoin stood in August 2013, with 11 percent new supply a year. What Bittensor does, who uses it, how fast the supply really grows, and what a software update added in September.
What Is Virtuals – and How Much VIRTUAL Do Its AI Agents Really Need?
Every AI agent launched on Virtuals trades against VIRTUAL, which is the core of the case for the token. On-chain, the agent pools hold 22.75 million VIRTUAL, about 2.3 percent of the supply. What Virtuals does, who uses it, how much of the token the agents tie up, and what the price has followed instead.
Strategy Made It Through the Bear Market. It Paid With Shares, Not Bitcoin.
In June, STRC fell to $75 and critics warned of a death spiral. The dividend kept coming, Strategy kept its bitcoin, and STRC is back at $99. What Michael Saylor's "Digital Credit" playbook did in practice, what it cost shareholders, and what comes next.
What Is BNB – and Are You Buying a Blockchain or Binance?
BNB pays for transactions on BNB Chain and buys discounts at Binance. What the chain does, who uses it, how the burn really works, and why the token moved with news about the exchange, not with the chain's growth.
How Does Leverage Trading Work – and Why a 2x Never Doubles Your Asset Holdings, but Can Cost You Everything?
Count in units of the asset, not in dollars: holding 1 coin always leaves you 1 coin. A 2x long gets closer to 2 the higher the price climbs, but never reaches it, and a halving takes everything. That holds for every asset. Since 2017, a 2x long would have been liquidated within a year after one in three entry days for Bitcoin and almost one in two for Ether.
How Often Does Bitcoin Crash 30% – and Is It Getting Rarer?
Since 2011 Bitcoin has fallen 30 percent within a month 19 times. How often that happens today, how it fits with falling volatility, how far the drop usually went, and what that means for the size of your position.
What Is EigenLayer – and Who Actually Pays the Restaking Yield?
At its peak, EigenLayer held $22 billion. Of the $209 million in rewards paid to restakers since 2024, 99.6 % were newly issued EIGEN tokens. What EigenLayer does, who uses it, who paid the yield, and what happened when the issuance slowed.
Altcoin Season in Sight: Is It Time to Switch Out of Bitcoin?
When half the top altcoins beat Bitcoin, an altcoin season usually follows. Yet in 11 of 13 cases since 2020, switching to altcoins meant falling behind Bitcoin, whether you bought the leaders or the rest. Five checks and what each one tells you.
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