Arena Blog
Data-driven insights on trading strategies, backtests, and market analysis.
193–196 of 196 posts · page 17 of 17
We Built the Bitcoin Cycle Indicator From the Last Post — Here's What the Data Showed
In the last post we argued that adaptive normalization and institutional dampening are the future of cycle indicators. Then we built exactly one — and tested it honestly. The results forced us to reposition the indicator.
Most crypto traders ask the wrong question about altcoins
Most crypto traders ask the wrong question. Not "which altcoin should I buy?" — but "is it even altcoin season right now?" Buy the best altcoin at the wrong time and you'll still lose to someone who just held Bitcoin. Timing the market regime matters more than picking the right token.
Why building a Bitcoin top/bottom indicator is harder than it looks
Everyone wants a reliable Bitcoin cycle indicator. Buy near the bottom, sell near the top. Simple concept. Surprisingly hard to build well. Here's what we learned trying to build one — and why the classic approaches are becoming less reliable with every cycle.
50% of Solana DEX volume isn't real trading
Solana is one of the fastest, cheapest blockchains for trading. High throughput, near-zero fees, dozens of active DEXs. On paper, it looks like a trader's paradise.
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