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Market Analysis

Altcoin Season in Sight: Is It Time to Switch Out of Bitcoin?

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

When half the top altcoins beat Bitcoin, an altcoin season usually follows. Yet in 11 of 13 cases since 2020, switching to altcoins meant falling behind Bitcoin, whether you bought the leaders or the rest. Five checks and what each one tells you.

MomentumMarket structureBitcoin+1
Oct 2, 20261 min
Backtesting

Five Questions for Any Trading Algorithm — Even the Good Providers Leave Out the Drawdown

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

The most detailed factsheet among three providers checked lists hit rate, best trade and worst trade — but not how far the portfolio fell or for how long. Five questions that make a return readable.

DrawdownBacktestingMethodology+2
Sep 15, 20261 min
Strategy

The Strategy Library: Not a Leaderboard, a Toolbox

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

25+ strategies, and the honest question is never "which is best?" It's: which fits what, and when? Four truths that run through the whole library — timeframe decides, "beats B&H" often means losing less, win rate isn't profit, and fit beats breadth.

StrategyTrend followingMomentum+1
Jul 8, 20261 min
Strategy

We Rebuilt Our Worst Strategy Correctly — It Worked — and Cut It Anyway

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

Our Bollinger Squeeze strategy lost to Buy & Hold by double digits on crypto. Before deleting it, we rebuilt it to the modern standard (TTM Squeeze). The rebuild turned positive — and we retired it anyway. Why "it works now" isn't enough.

BacktestingMethodologyMomentum
Jul 1, 20261 min
Strategy

Does Dual Momentum Really Beat Buy & Hold? We Backtested It.

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

Dual Momentum supposedly beats Buy & Hold on return AND drawdown. Our GTAA-5 backtest (2007–2026) says otherwise: not on return — but clearly on drawdown.

BacktestingBuy & HoldDrawdown+2
Jun 16, 20261 min
Strategy

MACD Cross is live — two modes from one classic

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

A new strategy is live: Gerald Appel's MACD from the 1970s, now fully tunable (default 12/26/9). Two trade modes — classic signal cross or histogram flip — give you a reactive and a confirming variant from one indicator.

BacktestingCryptoMomentum+1
Jun 11, 20261 min
Strategy

RSI: The Most Popular Indicator in Crypto. Does It Work?

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

RSI is the most popular indicator in crypto trading. But does the classic "oversold = buy" logic actually work? We ran the numbers — and the results show: without a trend filter, RSI is a trap. With the right setup, it becomes a real strategy.

RSIMomentumBitcoin+1
May 18, 20261 min
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