Arena Blog

34 of 50 top-50 alts have lost money on average across every entry point — measured in USD. One strategy flips that. It doesn't look at the alt. It looks at BTC.

CME announced on May 5, 2026 the launch of regulated Bitcoin volatility futures starting June 1. Traders will be able to trade volatility in isolation, without taking a directional bet on the BTC price. What this means technically, who benefits, and why it's a bigger step for crypto than the headline suggests.

We tested our RSI/SMA strategy on 77 actively trading Binance BTC-pairs (XAUT and WBTC excluded). 92% of them lost against BTC over 8 years. The strategy still beats Buy & Hold on 88% of pairs — through getting out, not through outperformance.

Grid bots promise profit from sideways markets — but without the right range they fail. We show with two real BTC backtests (2024 and 2025) when grid wins, and when buy-and-hold dominates.

Long-Term Holders hold 71% of all Bitcoin. ETFs and Treasury Companies buy price-inelastically. What happens when this inelastic demand meets a structurally shrinking float?

Bitwise's Jeff Park predicts an IBIT-led volatility rally. We dissect his argument — and examine what would actually need to happen for the thesis to play out.

On April 25, options on BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF IBIT held more open interest than Deribit for the first time. Why this moment changes what the classic Max Pain calculation actually tells us — and how we plan to handle it in our tooling.

Gold has had three great bull waves since 1971. Bitcoin has run through four in just 17 years. The fifth is starting now — and it has no precedent.

On May 29, CME goes 24/7 for crypto futures. What the gap phenomenon really was, why it worked — and how weekend volatility, Sunday pumps, and day-of-week strategies are about to shift.

Sell, borrow, or borrow-and-buy more? Three strategies with real numbers, stress-tested against the Bitcoin Power Law.

Everyone wants a reliable Bitcoin cycle indicator. Buy near the bottom, sell near the top. Simple concept. Surprisingly hard to build well. Here's what we learned trying to build one — and why the classic approaches are becoming less reliable with every cycle.