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13–24 of 83 posts · page 2 of 7

Strategy

Is the Anchored VWAP Strategy Worth It? Checked Against Six Years of Bitcoin

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

The anchored VWAP strategy draws an average-price line from a starting point you pick, such as the last low, and buys while price stays above it. Its result depends on that starting point. On six years of Bitcoin, none of five common anchor rules placed the line better than chance, and the 52-week low did worse than 99 percent of random anchors. Why that happens, why the charts still look convincing, and what to use instead.

BacktestingMethodologyTrend following+1
Oct 7, 20261 min
Asset Analysis

What Is Bittensor – and How Scarce Is TAO After Its Halving, Really?

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

TAO copies Bitcoin's supply plan: 21 million, halvings, 3,600 new coins a day. That puts it where Bitcoin stood in August 2013, with 11 percent new supply a year. What Bittensor does, who uses it, how fast the supply really grows, and what a software update added in September.

BitcoinOn-chainCrypto
Oct 6, 20261 min
Asset Analysis

Strategy Made It Through the Bear Market. It Paid With Shares, Not Bitcoin.

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

In June, STRC fell to $75 and critics warned of a death spiral. The dividend kept coming, Strategy kept its bitcoin, and STRC is back at $99. What Michael Saylor's "Digital Credit" playbook did in practice, what it cost shareholders, and what comes next.

StrategyBitcoin
Oct 6, 20261 min
Asset Analysis

What Is BNB – and Are You Buying a Blockchain or Binance?

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

BNB pays for transactions on BNB Chain and buys discounts at Binance. What the chain does, who uses it, how the burn really works, and why the token moved with news about the exchange, not with the chain's growth.

Market structureStablecoinsCrypto+1
Oct 5, 20261 min
Market Analysis

How Often Does Bitcoin Crash 30% – and Is It Getting Rarer?

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

Since 2011 Bitcoin has fallen 30 percent within a month 19 times. How often that happens today, how it fits with falling volatility, how far the drop usually went, and what that means for the size of your position.

DrawdownRisk managementBitcoin+1
Oct 5, 20261 min
Market Analysis

Altcoin Season in Sight: Is It Time to Switch Out of Bitcoin?

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

When half the top altcoins beat Bitcoin, an altcoin season usually follows. Yet in 11 of 13 cases since 2020, switching to altcoins meant falling behind Bitcoin, whether you bought the leaders or the rest. Five checks and what each one tells you.

MomentumMarket structureBitcoin+1
Oct 2, 20261 min
Asset Analysis

What Is Dogecoin – and Who Actually Pays for the Chain?

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

Dogecoin pays its miners $1.3 million a day in new coins while its users pay under $1,000 in fees. What the chain does, who uses it, why Litecoin miners earn more from Dogecoin than from Litecoin, and what that means for holders.

On-chainMarket structureCrypto+1
Sep 30, 20261 min
Market Analysis

Spoofing in the Order Book: Can a Heatmap Tell You Which Wall Is Fake?

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

Willy Woo labelled the sell walls in Bitcoin's order book "fake" and the bids "organic". What spoofing means in law, how the first criminal case was actually proven, and the one number a heatmap would need to show.

Market structureMethodologyBitcoin
Sep 30, 20261 min
Market Analysis

Bitcoin at $785,000 by 2030? The Math Behind OMEGA60

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

A Bitcoin model published in August reaches $785,000 in 2030 at 60 % a year. Where its line stands today, what rate the target now needs, and why the same method would have given anything from $47,000 to $19 million.

Look-ahead biasMethodologyBitcoin
Sep 30, 20261 min
Asset Analysis

What Is Monero – and Is XMR a Good Investment?

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

Monero hides sender, receiver and amount in every payment. What the chain does, who uses it, where it still trades, how its perpetual emission compares with Bitcoin's, and why XMR moved against Bitcoin in 2024 and 2025 but with it in 2026.

Market structureBitcoinCrypto
Sep 30, 20261 min
Market Analysis

Bitcoin falls, the ETFs keep buying. Is that a buy signal?

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

When Bitcoin falls while the spot ETFs report inflows, it looks like support. Across 428 trading days the next day was a coin flip like any other, and within the next 20 days the usual pullback came anyway.

ETFBitcoinEthereum+2
Sep 28, 20261 min
Tools

No blockchain is fast, secure and checkable by anyone at once. Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana each pay somewhere else.

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

Why doesn't Bitcoin just get faster? Because speed costs something else. The blockchain trilemma, the ways around it, and the one number to watch for Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana.

EthereumSolanaBitcoin+1
Sep 25, 20261 min
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