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13–24 of 34 posts · page 2 of 3

Asset Analysis

What Is Dogecoin – and Who Actually Pays for the Chain?

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Dogecoin pays its miners $1.3 million a day in new coins while its users pay under $1,000 in fees. What the chain does, who uses it, why Litecoin miners earn more from Dogecoin than from Litecoin, and what that means for holders.

On-chainMarket structureCrypto+1
Sep 30, 20261 min
Market Analysis

Spoofing in the Order Book: Can a Heatmap Tell You Which Wall Is Fake?

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

Willy Woo labelled the sell walls in Bitcoin's order book "fake" and the bids "organic". What spoofing means in law, how the first criminal case was actually proven, and the one number a heatmap would need to show.

Market structureMethodologyBitcoin
Sep 30, 20261 min
Asset Analysis

What Is Monero – and Is XMR a Good Investment?

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

Monero hides sender, receiver and amount in every payment. What the chain does, who uses it, where it still trades, how its perpetual emission compares with Bitcoin's, and why XMR moved against Bitcoin in 2024 and 2025 but with it in 2026.

Market structureBitcoinCrypto
Sep 30, 20261 min
Market Analysis

Bitcoin falls, the ETFs keep buying. Is that a buy signal?

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

When Bitcoin falls while the spot ETFs report inflows, it looks like support. Across 428 trading days the next day was a coin flip like any other, and within the next 20 days the usual pullback came anyway.

ETFBitcoinEthereum+2
Sep 28, 20261 min
Asset Analysis

Quant Network: Did bank deals make QNT explode? A closer look at the token

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

In nine days of September 2026 QNT went from 63 to as much as 373 dollars, right after US and UK banks picked Quant's software. What Quant does, how company, technology and token differ, and what supply and blockchain show about the token.

Tokenized assetsMarket structureCrypto
Sep 28, 20261 min
Asset Analysis

Banks use Ripple. That does not mean they need XRP.

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

Ripple sells banks software and its own stablecoin. What the XRP Ledger is used for, ten popular claims checked against the data, and why nearly all of XRP's gain since 2018 came in one month.

ETFStablecoinsMarket structure+1
Sep 27, 20261 min
Asset Analysis

Half of all Tether dollars sit on Tron. They are there to be sent, not invested.

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

Tron carries more USDT than Ethereum, yet holds six cents of DeFi per stablecoin dollar. What the chain is, who uses it and why, and what its growth has done for the TRX token, with monthly returns since 2018.

StablecoinsOn-chainMarket structure+1
Sep 25, 20261 min
Market Analysis

Sell Before the Midterm Year? In Midterm Years the Stock Market Performs Worse Than Usual — but Rarely in the Autumn.

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

Across 18 midterm years since 1954 the S&P fell 17.7 percent from its high on average — but only 5 of them had a 19-percent drop inside the second half. What the number measures, how much of it reaches Bitcoin (through the S&P, not through yields), and why Bitcoin's own midterm-year bears come from the halving.

MacroDrawdownBitcoin+2
Sep 17, 20261 min
Market Structure

What Is Metcalfe's Law — and Does It Hold for Bitcoin?

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

A network's value grows with the square of its participants — says Metcalfe's Law. Where it came from, where it was ever measured, why it describes 15 years of Bitcoin well, and why the "seven-year low in active addresses" headline still counts no users.

On-chainBitcoinMethodology+2
Sep 17, 20261 min
Market Structure

When the Rich Get Richer and the Poor Get Poorer, That Is a K-Shaped Economy. Are We in One?

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

The Richmond Fed tested 30 years of income data against a strict definition: a K appeared in 2002–06 and 2010–13, not after COVID. Why short stretches still last, and why no average can show one.

MacroMethodologyMarket structure+1
Sep 14, 20261 min
Market Structure

Did the October 10 Crash Push Bitcoin Into the Bear Market?

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

Trump announced tariffs, $19 billion was force-sold — and three days later the market looked normal again. Sorting the occasion from the cause.

BitcoinLiquidationLeverage+3
Aug 18, 20261 min
Market Analysis

Popular Trading Myths, Tested Against the Actual Numbers

Backtesting Arenatradingstrategies.work

Max pain, the yen carry trade, rate cuts, the four-year cycle: seven trading myths, each held against the numbers. The answer is almost never "myth" — usually it is something less comfortable.

BacktestingMarket structureMethodology+2
Aug 6, 20261 min
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