Parabolic Run
Probability· DE: Parabolischer Lauf
An episode in which an altcoin trades far above its long-term trend and rises fast at the same time: close at least 2× its 200-day SMA AND at least +50 % over 30 days on the same day. The episode ends when the close falls below 1.5× the SMA200 or after 60 days; a new one needs a 60-day gap. A declared house definition (spec-top-bottom-signale-b-v1 D1/D2), measured with its neighbours on a sensitivity grid — not a market standard.
Calculation
Daily Binance USDT closes from 2017 plus delisted-pair archive, ≥300 days per pair. Start at t0: close/SMA200 ≥ 2.0 && close/close[t−30] − 1 ≥ 0.50. End: first day after t0 with close/SMA200 < 1.5, or t0+60. Cooldown 60 days after the end. Grid: SMA ratio {1.5, 2.0, 2.5} × 30-day return {30, 50, 100 %}.
Unit & source
distribution · tradingstrategies.work parabolic base rate (Korb B, spec-top-bottom-signale-b-v1 §4) methodology
Related terms
Knowledge objects measuring this
Definitions are for research and education. Metrics describe market conditions — not financial advice or a buy/sell signal.