BTC · CCI(20) · OECD CLI
Two-panel chart: top panel shows BTC monthly close (log scale) + OECD CLI on the right axis (values around 100 = long-run trend), bottom panel shows CCI(20) with ±100 reference lines. Four selectable series: G20 CLI (global proxy, ~85% world GDP), G7 CLI, Germany CLI, G20 BCI. OECD CLI captures the phase of the business cycle; CCI(20) measures the relative momentum position of the BTC price. The relationship is loose and regime-dependent — context, not a signal.
- Formula:
- CCI(20) = (TP − SMA(TP,20)) ÷ (0.015 × MAD); TP = (H+L+C)/3 · OECD CLI: amplitude-adjusted composite
- Originator:
- OECD (CLI, 1970s) · Donald Lambert (CCI, 1980)
- Data source:
- OECD CLI/BCI via DBnomics (CC BY 4.0) · BTC monthly OHLC Binance
Strategies to backtest
Thematically related strategies from our library — try them in the backtest engine or read up on the methodology.
The benchmark for everything else — buy on day one, hold forever. The reference every strategy is measured against.
Open strategy →Buy a fixed amount on a fixed schedule — week after week, regardless of price. Smooths volatility, removes timing decisions.
Open strategy →More Bitcoin indicators
111-day SMA vs. 350-day SMA × 2. Classic top signal by Philip Swift — historical crossovers nailed every BTC bull-run top to within days.
Current BTC price divided by the 200-day moving average. Below 1 historically bearish, above 2.4 marks the top 0.5% quantile.
Logarithmic regression on BTC price since 2010 with nine colour bands — from "Fire Sale" deep blue to "Maximum Bubble" red.