
Arena Blog
Data-driven insights on trading strategies, backtests, and market analysis.
25–36 of 42 posts · page 3 of 4
Funding Rates as a BTC Signal: We Tested It. It Doesn't Work The Way You Would Think
High funding rates signal overheated longs — a warning. Negative funding means shorts capitulating — a buy signal. The logic seems solid. We tested it across 6.7 years of BTC data. The results were the opposite of what we expected.
Bollinger Bands Squeeze is live — when the bands get tight
A new strategy is live: John Bollinger's classic volatility-cycle play. Wait for the bands to squeeze tight, then ride the long breakout above the upper band. Default 20/2.0/0.1. Pro+.
New Strategy: BTC Signal — RSI/SMA for Altcoins
A new strategy for altcoins is live: trade any alt with RSI(14) / SMA(14) computed on BTC/USDT instead of on the alt itself. The idea: BTC is the bellwether — when the macro regime is on, trade alts; when it isn't, get out.
The Golden Cross: Does It Actually Work?
Every few months crypto media announces a Bitcoin Golden Cross. But does the signal actually work? We tested it against historical data — on daily and weekly candles. The answer is more nuanced than the headlines.
RSI vs. Golden Cross vs. OBV-MACD: Which Strategy Actually Wins?
Golden Cross, RSI/SMA, and OBV-MACD compared head-to-head on Bitcoin weekly candles. Which strategy wins? The honest answer is surprising — and it says more about the market than about the strategies themselves.
RSI: The Most Popular Indicator in Crypto. Does It Work?
RSI is the most popular indicator in crypto trading. But does the classic "oversold = buy" logic actually work? We ran the numbers — and the results show: without a trend filter, RSI is a trap. With the right setup, it becomes a real strategy.
Supertrend is live — the ratcheting trend follower now with a real backtest engine
A new strategy is live: Supertrend, one of the most popular indicators on TradingView. ATR-based bands that ratchet with the trend — the stop only moves in trend direction, never back. Default 10/3.0 with Wilder smoothing. Pro+.
Smoothed Heikin Ashi — Heikin-Ashi With Two Smoothing Layers
Heiken-Ashi candles have been a popular noise filter from Japan for decades. Smoothed Heiken Ashi takes it one step further and smooths the OHLC data twice — before and after the HA calculation. Live today as the latest strategy in the Backtesting Arena.
Static DCA is the beginner answer. Ladder Stacking is the next level.
Everyone knows DCA: buy the same amount each month, done. It works. But if you already have the Cycle Score — the score that tells you whether BTC is accumulating or overheating — why ignore that information when buying? We've built a calculator that pits DCA, HODL, and Ladder Stacking against each other. With real BTC data and Z-Score anchor.
7,000 Backtests In — What the Arena Has Learned So Far
7,299 runs across 601 assets and every strategy. The most surprising pattern: it's not which strategy you pick that decides the outcome — it's the timeframe you run it on. Plus: two newcomers push to the top — and a side glance at paid indicator communities.
Buying Altcoins Without a Strategy? Just Buy Bitcoin Instead.
**What 269 Binance USDT pairs over 8 years reveal about the honest reality of crypto investing — and why most altcoin holders are playing a game they statistically cannot win.**
Keltner Channel Breakout — Bollinger's Older Brother
Everyone knows Bollinger Bands. Keltner Channels have been around longer and use ATR instead of standard deviation — which often makes them better suited for trend following. Live today as strategy 10 in the Backtesting Arena.
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