
Arena Blog
Data-driven insights on trading strategies, backtests, and market analysis.
25–36 of 38 posts · page 3 of 4
RSI vs. Golden Cross vs. OBV-MACD: Which Strategy Actually Wins?
Golden Cross, RSI/SMA, and OBV-MACD compared head-to-head on Bitcoin weekly candles. Which strategy wins? The honest answer is surprising — and it says more about the market than about the strategies themselves.
RSI: The Most Popular Indicator in Crypto. Does It Work?
RSI is the most popular indicator in crypto trading. But does the classic "oversold = buy" logic actually work? We ran the numbers — and the results show: without a trend filter, RSI is a trap. With the right setup, it becomes a real strategy.
Supertrend is live — the ratcheting trend follower now with a real backtest engine
A new strategy is live: Supertrend, one of the most popular indicators on TradingView. ATR-based bands that ratchet with the trend — the stop only moves in trend direction, never back. Default 10/3.0 with Wilder smoothing. Pro+.
Smoothed Heikin Ashi — Heikin-Ashi With Two Smoothing Layers
Heiken-Ashi candles have been a popular noise filter from Japan for decades. Smoothed Heiken Ashi takes it one step further and smooths the OHLC data twice — before and after the HA calculation. Live today as the latest strategy in the Backtesting Arena.
Static DCA is the beginner answer. Ladder Stacking is the next level.
Everyone knows DCA: buy the same amount each month, done. It works. But if you already have the Cycle Score — the score that tells you whether BTC is accumulating or overheating — why ignore that information when buying? We've built a calculator that pits DCA, HODL, and Ladder Stacking against each other. With real BTC data and Z-Score anchor.
7,000 Backtests In — What the Arena Has Learned So Far
7,299 runs across 601 assets and every strategy. The most surprising pattern: it's not which strategy you pick that decides the outcome — it's the timeframe you run it on. Plus: two newcomers push to the top — and a side glance at paid indicator communities.
Buying Altcoins Without a Strategy? Just Buy Bitcoin Instead.
**What 269 Binance USDT pairs over 8 years reveal about the honest reality of crypto investing — and why most altcoin holders are playing a game they statistically cannot win.**
Keltner Channel Breakout — Bollinger's Older Brother
Everyone knows Bollinger Bands. Keltner Channels have been around longer and use ATR instead of standard deviation — which often makes them better suited for trend following. Live today as strategy 10 in the Backtesting Arena.
Volatility Isn't a Threat, It's Your Tool — How ATR Makes Every Backtest Better
Average True Range sounds like dry theory. In practice, it's the indicator that lets you adapt your stops, filters, and strategies to the actual reality of the market. We've now fully integrated it into Backtesting Arena — here's what it does and how to use it starting today.
When a Crypto Strategy fails completely on US Stocks
An honest story from our bulk backtests.
Buy Now or Wait for the Dip? The Math Behind the Decision
Buy now or wait for the dip? Both camps believe in rising prices — yet pursue opposite strategies. An expected-value calculation reveals which one actually wins, and under which conditions the math flips.
Why 80% Win Rate Doesn't Mean You're Making Money
Open any signal-service landing page. The first number you see is almost always a win rate. 76%. 82%. 91%.
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