Ethereum — Cycle Position
As of 9 Jul 2026 · ETH · Point-in-time, price-derived · Explainable, not a trading signal
Raw composite 29/100 from 3 of 3 price-derived indicators (mayer, rsi_w, ma200w), z-normalized against ETH's own history. Spot ≈ $1,738.65.
Cycle indicators
The composite cycle score sits at the 32.5th percentile of ETH's own history (n=1859, regime-homogeneous) — mid-range.
Why ETH uses fewer indicators than Bitcoin (7 not applicable)
Bitcoin-native indicators are marked not_applicable rather than filled with pseudo-values — the gap stays visible, not broken:
- halving — No halving schedule for non-Bitcoin assets.
- btc dominance — Bitcoin-specific market-share metric.
- mining difficulty — Proof-of-work difficulty is Bitcoin-native (ETH is PoS, SOL is PoS).
- hash ribbons — Derived from Bitcoin miner hashrate.
- fear greed — The Crypto Fear & Greed Index is a market-wide (BTC-led) index, not per-coin.
- pi cycle — Pi-Cycle constants (113/355DMA top, 471×0.745/150DMA bottom) are empirically calibrated to Bitcoin halving cycles and do not transfer.
- onchain valuation — MVRV-Z / Puell / BRK on-chain series are Bitcoin-only in this dataset.
Source & reproducibility
- Object: ko:alt_cycle:eth:2026-07-09
- Engine: alt-cycle-engine v1.0.0
- As of: 9 Jul 2026 · computed 2026-07-09
- Source: alt_cycle_snapshots (ETH) · point-in-time walk-forward
This is a descriptive, explainable cycle read for research and education — not financial advice and not a buy/sell signal. Percentile and historical figures describe the past; they do not predict the future.
Dig into the data
Backtest strategies on ETH, or query the Ethereum cycle via the API/MCP (arena_get_cycle).