Preregistered Study · vola-episoden-v1
As of 30 Jul 2026 · Explainable knowledge object · Not a trading signal
Study vola-episoden-v1 — question: Do phases of low Bitcoin volatility resolve upward or downward — and does that depend on the market phase (above or below the 200-week average)? (F2; F1, whether volatility expands afterwards, is reported descriptively.) Locked 2026-07-30 in the same commit as the result (25b8237) — not provably before it. The question could not be answered with this sample (rule: min_n_per_cell). 1 of 3 locked decision gates not met. Window 2011-04-24 to 2025-11-22. Descriptive record of a test, not a signal.
Factors
Related knowledge
Source & reproducibility
- Object: ko:study:vola-episoden-v1:2026-07-30
- Engine: study-register-engine v1.1.0
- As of: 30 Jul 2026 · computed 2026-07-30
- Repro hash: sha256:9fc51f597458917da…
- Inputs: 2 provenance references
This is a descriptive, explainable knowledge object for research and education — not financial advice and not a buy/sell signal. Figures describe the past and present; they do not predict the future.