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Preregistered Study · maxpain-magnet-v1

As of 30 Aug 2026 · Explainable knowledge object · Not a trading signal

Confidence 90%Preregistration →

Study maxpain-magnet-v1 — question: Does the max-pain strike pull spot toward it into a Deribit BTC expiry — does settlement land closer to max pain than price movement alone would put it? Locked 2026-08-26 in the same commit as the result (a30b6cf) — not provably before it. The question dissolved on re-measurement (rule: noise_floor). 1 of 3 locked decision gates not met; post-hoc control outside the locks: 1 of 1 not met. Window 2026-05-28 to 2026-08-29. Descriptive record of a test, not a signal.

Factors

Related knowledge

Source & reproducibility
  • Object: ko:study:maxpain-magnet-v1:2026-08-30
  • Engine: study-register-engine v1.1.0
  • As of: 30 Aug 2026 · computed 2026-08-30
  • Repro hash: sha256:212e2fd82af531a27…
  • Inputs: 2 provenance references

This is a descriptive, explainable knowledge object for research and education — not financial advice and not a buy/sell signal. Figures describe the past and present; they do not predict the future.

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