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Preregistered Study · consensus-ampel-v1

As of 5 Aug 2026 · Explainable knowledge object · Not a trading signal

Confidence 90%Preregistration →

Study consensus-ampel-v1 — question: Does a majority traffic light over a preregistered committee of five signals, traded with hysteresis rules on BTCUSDT, end with more net than holding — and does the rule carry that, or the market phase? Locked 2026-08-05 in the same commit as the result (560d6e8) — not provably before it. The claim fell (rule: placebo). 7 of 9 locked decision gates not met. Window 2018-03-04 to 2026-07-31. Descriptive record of a test, not a signal.

Factors

Related knowledge

Source & reproducibility
  • Object: ko:study:consensus-ampel-v1:2026-08-05
  • Engine: study-register-engine v1.1.0
  • As of: 5 Aug 2026 · computed 2026-08-05
  • Repro hash: sha256:4aa729bdb72327a15…
  • Inputs: 2 provenance references

This is a descriptive, explainable knowledge object for research and education — not financial advice and not a buy/sell signal. Figures describe the past and present; they do not predict the future.

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