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Preregistered Study · btc-rotation-v1

As of 27 Jul 2026 · Explainable knowledge object · Not a trading signal

Confidence 90%Preregistration →

Study btc-rotation-v1 — question: Does a three-state rotation (alt / BTC / USDT) driven by standard signals end with more BTC, net of fees, than simply holding BTC — and is it the rule that carries the result, or the market phase? Locked 2026-07-27 in the same commit as the result (e2ec7a5) — not provably before it. The claim fell (rule: placebo). 3 of 4 locked decision gates not met. Window 2017-09-07 to 2026-06-30. Descriptive record of a test, not a signal.

Factors

Related knowledge

Source & reproducibility
  • Object: ko:study:btc-rotation-v1:2026-07-27
  • Engine: study-register-engine v1.1.0
  • As of: 27 Jul 2026 · computed 2026-07-27
  • Repro hash: sha256:d4765d152ddcf865a…
  • Inputs: 2 provenance references

This is a descriptive, explainable knowledge object for research and education — not financial advice and not a buy/sell signal. Figures describe the past and present; they do not predict the future.

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