Backtesting Arena

Backtesting Arena

Confluence State · BTC

As of 4 Sept 2026 · Explainable knowledge object · Not a trading signal

Confidence 76%Confluence State

Confluence state: 1 of 5 independent domains aligned bearish (0 bullish / 1 bearish / 4 neutral). Dispersion 0.372 (high = split ensemble), net tilt -0.11. Read forward (valuation/sentiment gauges, not momentum): bullish = cheap/fearful, bearish = expensive/euphoric — a euphoric top reads bearish. Independence is measured, not assumed: effectively 3.78/5 domains (redundant: trend~onchain ρ=0.846). 2432 of 2433 comparable days at or above this level. A descriptive state beyond the bull-market gauge — not advice.

Factors

Related knowledge

Source & reproducibility
  • Object: ko:confluence_state:btc:2026-09-04
  • Engine: confluence-state-engine vconf_v1
  • As of: 4 Sept 2026 · computed 2026-09-04
  • Repro hash: sha256:6f17eff33e015cd72
  • Inputs: 5 provenance references

This is a descriptive, explainable knowledge object for research and education — not financial advice and not a buy/sell signal. Figures describe the past and present; they do not predict the future.

← Bitcoin market stateUpdated 4 Sept 2026