Confluence State
Regime· DE: Konfluenz-Zustand
A graded read of how many of Y INDEPENDENT domains (trend, on-chain valuation, macro, positioning, sentiment) are currently aligned in the same direction, plus the dispersion between them. NOT a binary "all must fire" gate and NOT a buy signal — it extends the primitive 0–5 bull-market gauge with genuine cross-domain agreement and honestly reports the spread. One representative per domain (no correlated clones as a fake quorum).
Calculation
Per component: position in its own expanding trailing-window percentile → tercile vote (≥2/3 bullish, ≤1/3 bearish, else neutral), polarity per component (contrarian for funding & fear/greed). State = aligned_count (max of bull/bear votes) + direction + dispersion (std-dev of signed conviction). Never full-sample thresholds (look-ahead-free, prefix-invariant).
Unit & source
count · tradingstrategies.work Confluence-State methodology
Values: bullish, bearish, mixed
Related terms
Knowledge objects measuring this
Definitions are for research and education. Metrics describe market conditions — not financial advice or a buy/sell signal.