Alt Vs Btc Base Rate
As of 1 Oct 2026 · Explainable knowledge object · Not a trading signal
Confidence 90%Alt-vs-BTC Base Rate →
Alt/BTC base rate (372 Binance USDT pairs, 463,301 daily observations, survivors only): median forward return -1.86 % (7d) · -6.64 % (30d) · -17.19 % (90d), only 39.95 / 33.6 / 25.93 % of windows positive. The "uptrending" state (close > SMA50 > SMA200 on the ratio, 8.8 % of days) sits -0.69 / -2.7 / -5.71 pp against the base rate; only 24.5 % of pairs carry a positive UP lift at 30d. Descriptive, not a signal.
Factors
Trend State vs BTC→
-2.7
weight 9% · contribution -0.24
Trend State vs BTC→
-1.68
weight 34% · contribution -0.56
Trend State vs BTC→
1.17
weight 58% · contribution +0.68
Source & reproducibility
- Object: ko:alt_vs_btc_base_rate:global:2026-10-01
- Engine: alt-vs-btc-base-rate-engine v1.0.0
- As of: 1 Oct 2026 · computed 2026-10-02
- Repro hash: sha256:59c48eb5e15df177a…
- Inputs: 1 provenance references
This is a descriptive, explainable knowledge object for research and education — not financial advice and not a buy/sell signal. Figures describe the past and present; they do not predict the future.
← Bitcoin market stateUpdated 1 Oct 2026