Cycle Model Scorecard

As of 23 Oct 2026 · Explainable knowledge object · Not a trading signal

Confidence 50%Cycle Model (public claim) →

Cycle-model scorecard 2026-10-23: spot 81,878 USD at h 4.6318 (block 972,675, cycle 4 at 63 %). Bitcoin Wave (power law + damped wave): fair value 82,400 USD, spot -0.6 % · Power Law (Santostasi): fair value 152,031 USD, spot -46.1 % · Rainbow (Trolololo 2014, frozen): fair value 280,727 USD, spot -70.8 % · Stock-to-Flow (PlanB): fair value 845,254 USD, spot -90.3 %. Dated calls: 5 closed, 2 pending — Bitcoin Wave (power law + damped wave) 1/3 hits, Stock-to-Flow (PlanB) 0/2 hits. Descriptive, not a signal.

Factors

Spot Deviation from Model Line→

-0.63

weight 25% · contribution -0.63

Spot Deviation from Model Line→

-46.14

weight 25% · contribution -46.14

Spot Deviation from Model Line→

-70.83

weight 25% · contribution -70.83

Spot Deviation from Model Line→

-90.31

weight 25% · contribution -90.31

Source & reproducibility

Object: ko:cycle_model_scorecard:global:2026-10-23
Engine: cycle-model-scorecard-engine v1.0.1
As of: 23 Oct 2026 · computed 2026-10-23
Repro hash: sha256:aac1db54433c28447…
Inputs: 3 provenance references

This is a descriptive, explainable knowledge object for research and education — not financial advice and not a buy/sell signal. Figures describe the past and present; they do not predict the future.

← Bitcoin market stateUpdated 23 Oct 2026