Backtesting Arena

Backtesting Arena

Cycle Model Scorecard

As of 8 Sept 2026 · Explainable knowledge object · Not a trading signal

Cycle-model scorecard 2026-09-08: spot 78,904 USD at h 4.6 (block 965,992, cycle 4 at 60 %). Bitcoin Wave (power law + damped wave): fair value 88,198 USD, spot -10.5 % · Power Law (Santostasi): fair value 146,009 USD, spot -46.0 % · Rainbow (Trolololo 2014, frozen): fair value 269,018 USD, spot -70.7 % · Stock-to-Flow (PlanB): fair value 843,236 USD, spot -90.6 %. Dated calls: 4 closed, 3 pending — Bitcoin Wave (power law + damped wave) 0/2 hits, Stock-to-Flow (PlanB) 0/2 hits. Descriptive, not a signal.

Factors

Source & reproducibility
  • Object: ko:cycle_model_scorecard:global:2026-09-08
  • Engine: cycle-model-scorecard-engine v1.0.1
  • As of: 8 Sept 2026 · computed 2026-09-08
  • Repro hash: sha256:68e4ac822f1d6a3cd
  • Inputs: 3 provenance references

This is a descriptive, explainable knowledge object for research and education — not financial advice and not a buy/sell signal. Figures describe the past and present; they do not predict the future.

← Bitcoin market stateUpdated 8 Sept 2026