Signal Transition
Events· DE: Signalwechsel
A discrete state change of a declared top/bottom signal (Bullmarket stages 1–5, Arena-Pulse band, hash ribbons, MVRV-Z regime, Mayer band, NUPL zone, Pi-Cycle cross, golden/death cross, price vs 200-week MA). One event class for all signals; payload.signal names the signal, payload.from/to the states. Band-type signals are confirmed only after the new state holds a measured dwell (14 days); MA-vs-MA crosses are raw (dwell 0). An observation with a declared confirmation lag, NOT a trading signal.
Calculation
occurred_at = day the underlying state flipped (start of the confirmed run); event_date = occurred_at + (dwell − 1), equal at dwell 0. Dwell per signal was MEASURED (probe signal-events-step-zero, 2026-08-31): 14 days where ≥ 20 % of raw runs were shorter than 14 days, else 0. State definitions are imported from the chart catalog / bullmarket stages / MVRV regime bands, never redefined. payload {signal, from, to, dwell, params}. Idempotency key includes source_asset = one identifier per signal.
Unit & source
transition · tradingstrategies.work Asset-Event-Layer (deterministic, look-ahead-free event stream) methodology
Related terms
Definitions are for research and education. Metrics describe market conditions — not financial advice or a buy/sell signal.