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Does Stoch-RSI Weekly Filter help wuguan_master_crypto?

Crypto · 150 backtest runs · As of 2 Nov 2026 · Methodology

Helps✗ below the multiple-testing threshold

This filter increases median CAGR — clearly enough that the entire 90% interval sits above +1 percentage point, not just the point estimate.

CAGR Comparison

Baseline CAGR
-12.5%
no filter
Filtered CAGR
6.2%
Stoch-RSI Weekly Filter
Δ CAGR
+6.68%
Sample
150
runs
Baseline Net CAGR
-13.2%
after fee + slippage
Filtered Net CAGR
5.0%
after fee + slippage

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Baseline Sharpe
-0.227
median
Filtered Sharpe
0.090
Δ Sharpe
+0.11
Threshold SR̂₀
0.380
Sharpe does not clear it

How does this filter work?

BUY signals only while the asset’s weekly StochRSI(14) sits above its SMA(3)

Multiple-testing threshold

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Testing several filters on the same data raises the chance that one looks good by luck. SR̂₀ = 0.380 is the Sharpe the best of 3 trials (no filter + every filter of this strategy) would reach by chance alone — computed from the spread of these trials' Sharpe values (extreme-value formula per Bailey & López de Prado 2014).

The filter passes when its Sharpe (0.090) lies above SR̂₀. This is a threshold test, not a probability: a true Deflated Sharpe would need each run's period count, skew and kurtosis. All Sharpe values are annualized over 365 calendar days.

Full analysis in Edge Library

Per-asset breakdown, trade-level data, Sharpe comparison — available after sign-in.

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