Does Bullmarket (Confirmed) help WMA Trend?
Crypto · 269 backtest runs · As of 29 Jul 2026 · Methodology
HelpsDSR ✗ not confirmed
This filter increases median CAGR by more than 1 percentage point vs. the baseline.
CAGR Comparison
Baseline CAGR
-3.0%
no filter
Filtered CAGR
11.3%
Bullmarket (Confirmed)
Δ CAGR
+14.30%
Sample
269
runs
Baseline Net CAGR
-3.4%
after costs
Filtered Net CAGR
10.8%
after costs
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Baseline Sharpe
0.009
median
Filtered Sharpe
0.176
Δ Sharpe
+0.17
DSR
0.0%
not confirmed
How does this filter work?
BUY signals only in confirmed bull market
DSR Methodology
▼
DSR = PSR(SR̂₀) per Bailey & López de Prado (2014). SR̂₀ = 0.8914 (expected best Sharpe from 9 random filter trials).
Testing multiple filters on the same data increases the chance of finding a good result by luck. DSR measures whether this result clears the multiple-testing threshold. Pass threshold: DSR ≥ 90%. Current: 0.0%.
Full analysis in Edge Library
Per-asset breakdown, trade-level data, Sharpe comparison — available after sign-in.
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