Backtesting Arena

Backtesting Arena

Does 200 WMA Filter help Supertrend?

Crypto · 50 backtest runs · As of 9 Jun 2026 · Methodology

HelpsDSR ✓ confirmed

This filter increases median CAGR by more than 1 percentage point vs. the baseline.

CAGR Comparison

Baseline CAGR
23.4%
no filter
Filtered CAGR
33.4%
200 WMA Filter
Δ CAGR
+10.00%
Sample
50
runs

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Baseline Sharpe
0.710
median
Filtered Sharpe
0.308
Δ Sharpe
-0.40
DSR
97.4%
confirmed ≥90%

How does this filter work?

BUY signals only when price > 200-week MA

DSR Methodology

DSR = PSR(SR̂₀) per Bailey & López de Prado (2014). SR̂₀ = 0.3177 (expected best Sharpe from 7 random filter trials).

Testing multiple filters on the same data increases the chance of finding a good result by luck. DSR measures whether this result clears the multiple-testing threshold. Pass threshold: DSR ≥ 90%. Current: 97.4%.

Full analysis in Edge Library

Per-asset breakdown, trade-level data, Sharpe comparison — available after sign-in.

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