Backtesting Arena

Backtesting Arena

Does Altcoin Season Filter help Stoch-RSI / SMA?

Crypto · 286 backtest runs · As of 9 Jun 2026 · Methodology

HurtsDSR ✗ not confirmed

This filter reduces median CAGR by more than 1 percentage point — either more false signals or too many blocked trades.

CAGR Comparison

Baseline CAGR
-0.3%
no filter
Filtered CAGR
-4.2%
Altcoin Season Filter
Δ CAGR
-3.85%
Sample
286
runs

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Baseline Sharpe
0.613
median
Filtered Sharpe
-0.092
Δ Sharpe
-0.70
DSR
0.0%
not confirmed

How does this filter work?

BUY signals only during altcoin season

DSR Methodology

DSR = PSR(SR̂₀) per Bailey & López de Prado (2014). SR̂₀ = 0.5687 (expected best Sharpe from 7 random filter trials).

Testing multiple filters on the same data increases the chance of finding a good result by luck. DSR measures whether this result clears the multiple-testing threshold. Pass threshold: DSR ≥ 90%. Current: 0.0%.

Full analysis in Edge Library

Per-asset breakdown, trade-level data, Sharpe comparison — available after sign-in.

← All edge reportsComputed 9 Jun 2026 · Methodology