Backtesting Arena

Backtesting Arena

Does ATR Expansion help Smoothed Heiken Ashi?

Crypto · 258 backtest runs · As of 10 Aug 2026 · Methodology

HelpsDSR ✗ not confirmed

This filter increases median CAGR — clearly enough that the entire 90% interval sits above +1 percentage point, not just the point estimate.

CAGR Comparison

Baseline CAGR
-3.9%
no filter
Filtered CAGR
1.4%
ATR Expansion
Δ CAGR
+5.20%
Sample
258
runs
Baseline Net CAGR
-4.5%
after costs
Filtered Net CAGR
1.0%
after costs

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Baseline Sharpe
-0.225
median
Filtered Sharpe
0.051
Δ Sharpe
+0.28
DSR
0.0%
not confirmed

How does this filter work?

Signals only during ATR expansion (trend onset)

DSR Methodology

DSR = PSR(SR̂₀) per Bailey & López de Prado (2014). SR̂₀ = 1.2874 (expected best Sharpe from 9 random filter trials).

Testing multiple filters on the same data increases the chance of finding a good result by luck. DSR measures whether this result clears the multiple-testing threshold. Pass threshold: DSR ≥ 90%. Current: 0.0%.

Full analysis in Edge Library

Per-asset breakdown, trade-level data, Sharpe comparison — available after sign-in.

← All edge reportsComputed 10 Aug 2026 · Methodology