Backtesting Arena

Backtesting Arena

Does 200 WMA Filter help RSI / SMA Cross?

Crypto · 478 backtest runs · As of 31 Aug 2026 · Methodology

HelpsDSR ✗ not confirmed

This filter increases median CAGR — clearly enough that the entire 90% interval sits above +1 percentage point, not just the point estimate.

CAGR Comparison

Baseline CAGR
-23.7%
no filter
Filtered CAGR
3.2%
200 WMA Filter
Δ CAGR
+4.15%
Sample
478
runs
Baseline Net CAGR
-25.1%
after costs
Filtered Net CAGR
2.2%
after costs

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Baseline Sharpe
-0.374
median
Filtered Sharpe
0.439
Δ Sharpe
+0.16
DSR
0.0%
not confirmed

How does this filter work?

BUY signals only when price > 200-week MA

DSR Methodology

DSR = PSR(SR̂₀) per Bailey & López de Prado (2014). SR̂₀ = 1.5470 (expected best Sharpe from 9 random filter trials).

Testing multiple filters on the same data increases the chance of finding a good result by luck. DSR measures whether this result clears the multiple-testing threshold. Pass threshold: DSR ≥ 90%. Current: 0.0%.

Full analysis in Edge Library

Per-asset breakdown, trade-level data, Sharpe comparison — available after sign-in.

← All edge reportsComputed 31 Aug 2026 · Methodology