Does Bullmarket (Strict) help RSI(2) Mean Reversion?
Crypto · 70 backtest runs · As of 27 Jul 2026 · Methodology
NeutralDSR ✗ not confirmed
No material CAGR effect (±1pp vs. baseline). Filter may still reduce drawdown.
CAGR Comparison
Baseline CAGR
1.4%
no filter
Filtered CAGR
1.2%
Bullmarket (Strict)
Δ CAGR
-0.20%
Sample
70
runs
Baseline Net CAGR
0.4%
after costs
Filtered Net CAGR
0.1%
after costs
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Baseline Sharpe
0.041
median
Filtered Sharpe
0.065
Δ Sharpe
+0.02
DSR
9.4%
not confirmed
How does this filter work?
BUY signals only under strict bull market criterion
DSR Methodology
▼
DSR = PSR(SR̂₀) per Bailey & López de Prado (2014). SR̂₀ = 0.4200 (expected best Sharpe from 7 random filter trials).
Testing multiple filters on the same data increases the chance of finding a good result by luck. DSR measures whether this result clears the multiple-testing threshold. Pass threshold: DSR ≥ 90%. Current: 9.4%.
Full analysis in Edge Library
Per-asset breakdown, trade-level data, Sharpe comparison — available after sign-in.
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