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Does ATR Low Volatility help RSI(2) Mean Reversion?

Crypto · 171 backtest runs · As of 19 Oct 2026 · Methodology

Hurts✗ below the multiple-testing threshold

This filter reduces median CAGR, with the entire 90% interval below −1 percentage point — either more false signals or too many blocked trades.

CAGR Comparison

Baseline CAGR
0.1%
no filter
Filtered CAGR
-0.6%
ATR Low Volatility
Δ CAGR
-2.82%
Sample
171
runs
Baseline Net CAGR
-1.6%
after fee + slippage
Filtered Net CAGR
-1.5%
after fee + slippage

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Baseline Sharpe
0.031
median
Filtered Sharpe
-0.043
Δ Sharpe
-0.13
Threshold SR̂₀
0.119
Sharpe does not clear it

How does this filter work?

Signals only in low ATR regime

Multiple-testing threshold

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Testing several filters on the same data raises the chance that one looks good by luck. SR̂₀ = 0.119 is the Sharpe the best of 11 trials (no filter + every filter of this strategy) would reach by chance alone — computed from the spread of these trials' Sharpe values (extreme-value formula per Bailey & López de Prado 2014).

The filter passes when its Sharpe (-0.043) lies above SR̂₀. This is a threshold test, not a probability: a true Deflated Sharpe would need each run's period count, skew and kurtosis. All Sharpe values are annualized over 365 calendar days.

Full analysis in Edge Library

Per-asset breakdown, trade-level data, Sharpe comparison — available after sign-in.

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