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Backtesting Arena

Does Bullmarket (Confirmed) help OBV-MACD?

Crypto ยท 143 backtest runs ยท As of 6 Jul 2026 ยท Methodology

HelpsDSR โœ— not confirmed

This filter increases median CAGR by more than 1 percentage point vs. the baseline.

CAGR Comparison

Baseline CAGR
1.6%
no filter
Filtered CAGR
6.8%
Bullmarket (Confirmed)
ฮ” CAGR
+5.20%
Sample
143
runs
Baseline Net CAGR
1.2%
after costs
Filtered Net CAGR
6.4%
after costs

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Baseline Sharpe
0.116
median
Filtered Sharpe
0.112
ฮ” Sharpe
-0.00
DSR
0.0%
not confirmed

How does this filter work?

BUY signals only in confirmed bull market

DSR Methodology

DSR = PSR(SRฬ‚โ‚€) per Bailey & Lรณpez de Prado (2014). SRฬ‚โ‚€ = 0.8143 (expected best Sharpe from 7 random filter trials).

Testing multiple filters on the same data increases the chance of finding a good result by luck. DSR measures whether this result clears the multiple-testing threshold. Pass threshold: DSR โ‰ฅ 90%. Current: 0.0%.

Full analysis in Edge Library

Per-asset breakdown, trade-level data, Sharpe comparison โ€” available after sign-in.

โ† All edge reportsComputed 6 Jul 2026 ยท Methodology
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