Backtesting Arena

Backtesting Arena

Does Bullmarket (Early) help Ichimoku Cloud?

Crypto · 50 backtest runs · As of 28 Jul 2026 · Methodology

HelpsDSR ✗ not confirmed

This filter increases median CAGR by more than 1 percentage point vs. the baseline.

CAGR Comparison

Baseline CAGR
-31.4%
no filter
Filtered CAGR
30.5%
Bullmarket (Early)
Δ CAGR
+61.85%
Sample
50
runs
Baseline Net CAGR
-32.4%
after costs
Filtered Net CAGR
28.7%
after costs

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Baseline Sharpe
-0.388
median
Filtered Sharpe
0.331
Δ Sharpe
+0.72
DSR
0.2%
not confirmed

How does this filter work?

BUY signals already under the early bull market criterion

DSR Methodology

DSR = PSR(SR̂₀) per Bailey & López de Prado (2014). SR̂₀ = 1.1800 (expected best Sharpe from 9 random filter trials).

Testing multiple filters on the same data increases the chance of finding a good result by luck. DSR measures whether this result clears the multiple-testing threshold. Pass threshold: DSR ≥ 90%. Current: 0.2%.

Full analysis in Edge Library

Per-asset breakdown, trade-level data, Sharpe comparison — available after sign-in.

← All edge reportsComputed 28 Jul 2026 · Methodology