Backtesting Arena

Backtesting Arena

Does 200 WMA Filter help F&G Cadence?

Crypto · 290 backtest runs · As of 17 Aug 2026 · Methodology

Not DecidableDSR ✗ not confirmed

Enough runs, but they disagree: the effect's 90% interval straddles the ±1 percentage-point line. Claiming a direction would assert more precision than the data supports.

CAGR Comparison

Baseline CAGR
-6.6%
no filter
Filtered CAGR
-9.2%
200 WMA Filter
Δ CAGR
-2.55%
Sample
290
runs
Baseline Net CAGR
-6.9%
after costs
Filtered Net CAGR
-9.5%
after costs

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Baseline Sharpe
0.066
median
Filtered Sharpe
-0.142
Δ Sharpe
-0.21
DSR
0.0%
not confirmed

How does this filter work?

BUY signals only when price > 200-week MA

DSR Methodology

DSR = PSR(SR̂₀) per Bailey & López de Prado (2014). SR̂₀ = 0.8498 (expected best Sharpe from 9 random filter trials).

Testing multiple filters on the same data increases the chance of finding a good result by luck. DSR measures whether this result clears the multiple-testing threshold. Pass threshold: DSR ≥ 90%. Current: 0.0%.

Full analysis in Edge Library

Per-asset breakdown, trade-level data, Sharpe comparison — available after sign-in.

← All edge reportsComputed 17 Aug 2026 · Methodology