Backtesting Arena

Backtesting Arena

Does Min Profit Guard help Capitulation Finder?

Crypto · 188 backtest runs · As of 28 Jul 2026 · Methodology

HelpsDSR ✗ not confirmed

This filter increases median CAGR by more than 1 percentage point vs. the baseline.

CAGR Comparison

Baseline CAGR
-7.1%
no filter
Filtered CAGR
-2.8%
Min Profit Guard
Δ CAGR
+4.35%
Sample
188
runs
Baseline Net CAGR
-7.3%
after costs
Filtered Net CAGR
-2.8%
after costs

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Baseline Sharpe
0.108
median
Filtered Sharpe
0.128
Δ Sharpe
+0.02
DSR
0.0%
not confirmed

How does this filter work?

SELL signals only past −10 % open result — holds losers longer

DSR Methodology

DSR = PSR(SR̂₀) per Bailey & López de Prado (2014). SR̂₀ = 0.7860 (expected best Sharpe from 9 random filter trials).

Testing multiple filters on the same data increases the chance of finding a good result by luck. DSR measures whether this result clears the multiple-testing threshold. Pass threshold: DSR ≥ 90%. Current: 0.0%.

Full analysis in Edge Library

Per-asset breakdown, trade-level data, Sharpe comparison — available after sign-in.

← All edge reportsComputed 28 Jul 2026 · Methodology