Backtesting Arena

Backtesting Arena

Does Min Profit Guard help BTC Signal RSI/SMA?

Crypto · 245 backtest runs · As of 28 Jul 2026 · Methodology

HurtsDSR ✗ not confirmed

This filter reduces median CAGR by more than 1 percentage point — either more false signals or too many blocked trades.

CAGR Comparison

Baseline CAGR
12.5%
no filter
Filtered CAGR
7.6%
Min Profit Guard
Δ CAGR
-4.90%
Sample
245
runs
Filtered Net CAGR
5.8%
after costs

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Baseline Sharpe
-0.395
median
Filtered Sharpe
0.199
Δ Sharpe
+0.59
DSR
0.0%
not confirmed

How does this filter work?

SELL signals only past −10 % open result — holds losers longer

DSR Methodology

DSR = PSR(SR̂₀) per Bailey & López de Prado (2014). SR̂₀ = 1.2450 (expected best Sharpe from 9 random filter trials).

Testing multiple filters on the same data increases the chance of finding a good result by luck. DSR measures whether this result clears the multiple-testing threshold. Pass threshold: DSR ≥ 90%. Current: 0.0%.

Full analysis in Edge Library

Per-asset breakdown, trade-level data, Sharpe comparison — available after sign-in.

← All edge reportsComputed 28 Jul 2026 · Methodology