Does Bullmarket (Early) help BTC Signal RSI/SMA?
Crypto · 294 backtest runs · As of 28 Jul 2026 · Methodology
HurtsDSR ✗ not confirmed
This filter reduces median CAGR by more than 1 percentage point — either more false signals or too many blocked trades.
CAGR Comparison
Baseline CAGR
12.5%
no filter
Filtered CAGR
8.0%
Bullmarket (Early)
Δ CAGR
-4.50%
Sample
294
runs
Filtered Net CAGR
6.4%
after costs
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Baseline Sharpe
-0.395
median
Filtered Sharpe
0.161
Δ Sharpe
+0.56
DSR
0.0%
not confirmed
How does this filter work?
BUY signals already under the early bull market criterion
DSR Methodology
▼
DSR = PSR(SR̂₀) per Bailey & López de Prado (2014). SR̂₀ = 1.2174 (expected best Sharpe from 9 random filter trials).
Testing multiple filters on the same data increases the chance of finding a good result by luck. DSR measures whether this result clears the multiple-testing threshold. Pass threshold: DSR ≥ 90%. Current: 0.0%.
Full analysis in Edge Library
Per-asset breakdown, trade-level data, Sharpe comparison — available after sign-in.
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