Backtesting Arena

Backtesting Arena

Does 200 WMA Filter help BB Squeeze?

Crypto · 102 backtest runs · As of 9 Jun 2026 · Methodology

NeutralDSR ✗ not confirmed

No material CAGR effect (±1pp vs. baseline). Filter may still reduce drawdown.

CAGR Comparison

Baseline CAGR
-0.9%
no filter
Filtered CAGR
-0.6%
200 WMA Filter
Δ CAGR
+0.35%
Sample
102
runs

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Baseline Sharpe
0.466
median
Filtered Sharpe
-0.045
Δ Sharpe
-0.51
DSR
0.0%
not confirmed

How does this filter work?

BUY signals only when price > 200-week MA

DSR Methodology

DSR = PSR(SR̂₀) per Bailey & López de Prado (2014). SR̂₀ = 0.3140 (expected best Sharpe from 7 random filter trials).

Testing multiple filters on the same data increases the chance of finding a good result by luck. DSR measures whether this result clears the multiple-testing threshold. Pass threshold: DSR ≥ 90%. Current: 0.0%.

Full analysis in Edge Library

Per-asset breakdown, trade-level data, Sharpe comparison — available after sign-in.

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