Backtesting Arena

Backtesting Arena

Does Altcoin Season Filter help BB Squeeze?

Crypto · 172 backtest runs · As of 9 Jun 2026 · Methodology

HelpsDSR ✗ not confirmed

This filter increases median CAGR by more than 1 percentage point vs. the baseline.

CAGR Comparison

Baseline CAGR
-0.9%
no filter
Filtered CAGR
1.8%
Altcoin Season Filter
Δ CAGR
+2.65%
Sample
172
runs

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Baseline Sharpe
0.466
median
Filtered Sharpe
0.134
Δ Sharpe
-0.33
DSR
46.2%
not confirmed

How does this filter work?

BUY signals only during altcoin season

DSR Methodology

DSR = PSR(SR̂₀) per Bailey & López de Prado (2014). SR̂₀ = 0.3622 (expected best Sharpe from 7 random filter trials).

Testing multiple filters on the same data increases the chance of finding a good result by luck. DSR measures whether this result clears the multiple-testing threshold. Pass threshold: DSR ≥ 90%. Current: 46.2%.

Full analysis in Edge Library

Per-asset breakdown, trade-level data, Sharpe comparison — available after sign-in.

← All edge reportsComputed 9 Jun 2026 · Methodology