Backtesting Arena

Backtesting Arena

Does Altcoin Season Filter help BB + RSI?

Crypto · 444 backtest runs · As of 9 Jun 2026 · Methodology

HurtsDSR ✗ not confirmed

This filter reduces median CAGR by more than 1 percentage point — either more false signals or too many blocked trades.

CAGR Comparison

Baseline CAGR
12.8%
no filter
Filtered CAGR
2.1%
Altcoin Season Filter
Δ CAGR
-10.65%
Sample
444
runs

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Baseline Sharpe
0.547
median
Filtered Sharpe
0.057
Δ Sharpe
-0.49
DSR
0.0%
not confirmed

How does this filter work?

BUY signals only during altcoin season

DSR Methodology

DSR = PSR(SR̂₀) per Bailey & López de Prado (2014). SR̂₀ = 0.6181 (expected best Sharpe from 7 random filter trials).

Testing multiple filters on the same data increases the chance of finding a good result by luck. DSR measures whether this result clears the multiple-testing threshold. Pass threshold: DSR ≥ 90%. Current: 0.0%.

Full analysis in Edge Library

Per-asset breakdown, trade-level data, Sharpe comparison — available after sign-in.

← All edge reportsComputed 9 Jun 2026 · Methodology
Altcoin Season Filter + BB + RSI on Crypto — Edge Analysis | Backtesting Arena | Backtesting Arena