Backtesting Arena

Backtesting Arena

Does ATR Low Volatility help Golden Cross?

Crypto · 100 backtest runs · As of 31 Aug 2026 · Methodology

HelpsDSR ✗ not confirmed

This filter increases median CAGR — clearly enough that the entire 90% interval sits above +1 percentage point, not just the point estimate.

CAGR Comparison

Baseline CAGR
-22.1%
no filter
Filtered CAGR
-3.6%
ATR Low Volatility
Δ CAGR
+12.73%
Sample
100
runs
Baseline Net CAGR
-22.2%
after costs
Filtered Net CAGR
-4.5%
after costs

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Baseline Sharpe
-0.337
median
Filtered Sharpe
-0.311
Δ Sharpe
+0.01
DSR
0.0%
not confirmed

How does this filter work?

Signals only in low ATR regime

DSR Methodology

DSR = PSR(SR̂₀) per Bailey & López de Prado (2014). SR̂₀ = 0.7971 (expected best Sharpe from 9 random filter trials).

Testing multiple filters on the same data increases the chance of finding a good result by luck. DSR measures whether this result clears the multiple-testing threshold. Pass threshold: DSR ≥ 90%. Current: 0.0%.

Full analysis in Edge Library

Per-asset breakdown, trade-level data, Sharpe comparison — available after sign-in.

← All edge reportsComputed 31 Aug 2026 · Methodology