Backtesting Arena

Backtesting Arena

Does Min Profit Guard help EMA Trend Bias?

Crypto · 314 backtest runs · As of 28 Jul 2026 · Methodology

HurtsDSR ✗ not confirmed

This filter reduces median CAGR by more than 1 percentage point — either more false signals or too many blocked trades.

CAGR Comparison

Baseline CAGR
-4.0%
no filter
Filtered CAGR
-8.8%
Min Profit Guard
Δ CAGR
-4.80%
Sample
314
runs
Baseline Net CAGR
-4.2%
after costs
Filtered Net CAGR
-8.9%
after costs

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Baseline Sharpe
-0.018
median
Filtered Sharpe
-0.035
Δ Sharpe
-0.02
DSR
0.0%
not confirmed

How does this filter work?

SELL signals only past −10 % open result — holds losers longer

DSR Methodology

DSR = PSR(SR̂₀) per Bailey & López de Prado (2014). SR̂₀ = 0.7512 (expected best Sharpe from 9 random filter trials).

Testing multiple filters on the same data increases the chance of finding a good result by luck. DSR measures whether this result clears the multiple-testing threshold. Pass threshold: DSR ≥ 90%. Current: 0.0%.

Full analysis in Edge Library

Per-asset breakdown, trade-level data, Sharpe comparison — available after sign-in.

← All edge reportsComputed 28 Jul 2026 · Methodology