Backtesting Arena

Backtesting Arena

Does ATR Low Volatility help BTC Signal RSI/SMA?

Crypto · 331 backtest runs · As of 31 Aug 2026 · Methodology

Not DecidableDSR ✗ not confirmed

Enough runs, but they disagree: the effect's 90% interval straddles the ±1 percentage-point line. Claiming a direction would assert more precision than the data supports.

CAGR Comparison

Baseline CAGR
1.3%
no filter
Filtered CAGR
5.5%
ATR Low Volatility
Δ CAGR
+0.63%
Sample
331
runs
Filtered Net CAGR
4.3%
after costs

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Baseline Sharpe
-0.305
median
Filtered Sharpe
0.080
Δ Sharpe
+0.10
DSR
0.0%
not confirmed

How does this filter work?

Signals only in low ATR regime

DSR Methodology

DSR = PSR(SR̂₀) per Bailey & López de Prado (2014). SR̂₀ = 1.1536 (expected best Sharpe from 9 random filter trials).

Testing multiple filters on the same data increases the chance of finding a good result by luck. DSR measures whether this result clears the multiple-testing threshold. Pass threshold: DSR ≥ 90%. Current: 0.0%.

Full analysis in Edge Library

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← All edge reportsComputed 31 Aug 2026 · Methodology