Backtesting Arena

Backtesting Arena

Does 200 WMA Filter help EMA Cross?

Stocks ยท 90 backtest runs ยท As of 13 Jul 2026 ยท Methodology

NeutralDSR โœ“ confirmed

No material CAGR effect (ยฑ1pp vs. baseline). Filter may still reduce drawdown.

CAGR Comparison

Baseline CAGR
9.1%
no filter
Filtered CAGR
8.4%
200 WMA Filter
ฮ” CAGR
-0.65%
Sample
90
runs
Baseline Net CAGR
9.0%
after costs
Filtered Net CAGR
8.3%
after costs

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Baseline Sharpe
0.296
median
Filtered Sharpe
0.375
ฮ” Sharpe
+0.08
DSR
100.0%
confirmed โ‰ฅ90%

How does this filter work?

BUY signals only when price > 200-week MA

DSR Methodology

DSR = PSR(SRฬ‚โ‚€) per Bailey & Lรณpez de Prado (2014). SRฬ‚โ‚€ = 0.5443 (expected best Sharpe from 7 random filter trials).

Testing multiple filters on the same data increases the chance of finding a good result by luck. DSR measures whether this result clears the multiple-testing threshold. Pass threshold: DSR โ‰ฅ 90%. Current: 100.0%.

Full analysis in Edge Library

Per-asset breakdown, trade-level data, Sharpe comparison โ€” available after sign-in.

โ† All edge reportsComputed 13 Jul 2026 ยท Methodology
200 WMA Filter + EMA Cross on Stocks โ€” Edge Analysis | Backtesting Arena