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Does ATR High Volatility help EMA Cross?

Stocks ยท 84 backtest runs ยท As of 13 Jul 2026 ยท Methodology

HurtsDSR โœ“ confirmed

This filter reduces median CAGR by more than 1 percentage point โ€” either more false signals or too many blocked trades.

CAGR Comparison

Baseline CAGR
9.1%
no filter
Filtered CAGR
3.2%
ATR High Volatility
ฮ” CAGR
-5.90%
Sample
84
runs
Baseline Net CAGR
9.0%
after costs
Filtered Net CAGR
3.1%
after costs

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Baseline Sharpe
0.296
median
Filtered Sharpe
0.233
ฮ” Sharpe
-0.06
DSR
97.4%
confirmed โ‰ฅ90%

How does this filter work?

Signals only in high ATR regime

DSR Methodology

DSR = PSR(SRฬ‚โ‚€) per Bailey & Lรณpez de Prado (2014). SRฬ‚โ‚€ = 0.5413 (expected best Sharpe from 7 random filter trials).

Testing multiple filters on the same data increases the chance of finding a good result by luck. DSR measures whether this result clears the multiple-testing threshold. Pass threshold: DSR โ‰ฅ 90%. Current: 97.4%.

Full analysis in Edge Library

Per-asset breakdown, trade-level data, Sharpe comparison โ€” available after sign-in.

โ† All edge reportsComputed 13 Jul 2026 ยท Methodology
ATR High Volatility + EMA Cross on Stocks โ€” Edge Analysis | Backtesting Arena